According
to an article the December 29-30 issue of Wall Street Journal,
"Disparity in Oil Prices Proves Pesky," Americans, particularly those living in the interior, are now enjoying much lower oil prices
than Europeans. In Iowa, I just
filled my tank with regular gasoline for $2.99 per gallon. In some parts of America, prices are a
bit higher, but all Americans have lower prices on petroleum and natural gas
than anyone in Western Europe. Historically, the price for European crude oil
(Brent Crude) is usually within a dollar or two per barrel of the price of
American crude, (West Texas Intermediate). But according to the article, U.S. crude is now about $20.00 cheaper per barrel than
European oil.
The
reason for this disparity is that we have a temporary glut of oil in the
American interior due to shale oil produced by hydro-fracking. This is temporary, in that the shale
formations are shallow and will probably only produce for 10 or 15 years, as
opposed to the 30-60 year life span expected for a conventional well. But at the moment, this surge of
production, combined with recent increases in the fuel efficiency of the
American automobile fleet, means that there is more oil available than there
are buyers, and this is driving down the price of crude. This is bad news for the oil companies,
because the new horizontal drilling and hydro-fracking technology that makes
this production possible is extremely expensive. By some estimates, if the
price of crude drops below $70.00 per barrel, which it easily could, the
drillers won't even break even.
The
oil companies would like to sell this oil to the Europeans and get an
additional $20.00. But there
is one problem--there is no practical way to get it there. This oil is produced
in the northern mid-west, and the present pipeline capacity to ship this oil to
gulf coast ports is inadequate to handle the volume. In November 2011, the Seaway Pipeline, originally built to
import oil from the gulf ports to the main storage hub in Cushing, Oklahoma,
was re-fitted to pump oil in the other direction. But this pipe can only handle about 400,000 barrels
per day. One part of the proposed
Keystone pipeline, the Keystone XL Southern Leg, would increase this capacity
by another 800,000 barrels. Another
Keystone leg would bring tar-sand oil from Alberta, Canada, into the U.S.. But the whole project has been
plagued by delays and environmental concerns. Ironically, the oil industry has been trying to paint the
environmentalist opposition as obstructionists who are obstructing a pipeline
that would bring in more oil and lower our prices. This propaganda effort has
had some success---millions of morons are writing their congressmen demanding
that this line be built. But
the part most likely to be completed is the Southern Leg, which will not bring
in any oil but ship it out---which will raise prices. And that's why the oil companies want
to build it. Along with oil, the
new drilling is producing massive amounts of natural gas, which would be even
harder to ship to Europe. But where there is a will, there is a way.
According
to another WSJ article, "Kafkaesque Twist in U.S.-Europe Energy
Gap", Dec 26, 2012, Austrian steelmaker Voestalpine is
planning to build a $659 million plant in the U.S. or Canada to produce a
semi-refined iron product (hot briquetted iron) to be shipped back to Austria
to be refined into steel. The iron
smelting done to produce these briquettes will be using cheap American natural
gas instead of metallurgical grade coal.
American gas is now priced
at about $3.50 per million British thermal units--about a third of the European
price. Reducing iron from its ore
is a very energy-intensive operation.
The fuel used, either natural gas or coke from coal, not only provides
the heat but is the main chemical reagent in the process. But by using cheap gas to produce an
energy-intensive semi-finished product, they have found a way to export gas
without a pipeline. Amazing how
history repeats itself.
In
Elizabethan England, the British isles were running short of chestnut trees,
which was then the only source of charcoal suitable for reducing iron from its
ore. At that time, no one
had yet developed a way to use coal to smelt iron. The trick is that you first
have to change it to "coke", which is like charcoal, only made from
coal. But no one knew that
then. So the whole British iron
industry was in peril. But
colonization of the Americas saved them.
North America had abundant chestnut forests, as well as iron ore. The arrangement which the British
preferred was to have the Americans make semi-finished iron to ship to England,
which their own iron industry could turn into useful iron and steel consumer
products which they could sell back to the Americans. But the Americans had a
better idea: instead of shipping
this iron to England and then shipping consumer products back, why not just turn the iron into
consumer products right here in America?
Why accept low prices for our crude iron exports and pay high prices for
all our consumer goods, and have all the money go to British shippers? So we started making our own
things. To prevent this,
Parliament passed the Iron Act.
Specifically, this act forbade anyone in the colonies from owning a
"slitting mill." A
slitting mill is a kind of shears
that cuts red hot iron plates into narrow strips. Thick plates were not useful
to anyone except an iron mill. They are a semi-finished industrial commodity. But narrow strips could be sold to any
blacksmith and converted into horse shoes, hinges, nails, or just about
anything. They were a
consumer good.
The
Iron Act was originally passed about 1750, but it was not enforced until after
the French and Indian War was over. One cannot put a strangle hold on a
population that one still needs to help win the war. But after the war, a number of unpopular acts were
enforced upon the colonials. The Stamp Act aroused the most ire among the
working classes, but among the elites who actually planned the revolution, the
most intolerable of all the so called "intolerable acts" was the Iron
Act. It clearly signaled the
intention of the British government to insure that America would remain
permanently under-developed industrially-- because British shippers and factory
owners wanted it that way. If we
accepted these restrictions, we would remain a "third world country"
forever. So a decision was made to
escape from British control while escape was still possible.
Yet
today, we cheerfully offer to the Austrians the precise arrangement which we
fought a revolution to deny the British.
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