If
there is one lesson to be gleaned from the British banking scandal, it is
this: If the LIBOR can be rigged,
then anything can be rigged—and probably is. The LIBOR (which stands for London Interbank Offered Rate)
is the benchmark rate that affects interest rates all over the world. It is computed daily according to the
rates which the 16 largest banks in London offer to each other. Every day, the 16 banks report
the rates which they are currently offering. The highest four and the lowest four are ignored, and the eight
in the middle are averaged. Since the highest and lowest are thrown out, it seems
like it would be hard from anyone to manipulate this rate. But it seems that
Barclays' Bank, possibly in collusion with several other banks, has found a way
to do this.
So, who are the victims of this
chicanery? There is an old
saying about playing poker with strangers: As you look around the table, if you
can’t spot the sucker, it’s probably you.
And since I’m not sure who got fleeced in this game with the LIBOR, then
it was probably me. Not directly,
of course. I have never borrowed
or lent money in any contract which was linked to the LIBOR. But I probably lost indirectly. Nearly every company in the world
borrows money on contracts that have some link to the LIBOR. And if these companies get fleeced,
then we can assume that all of the goods and services which we buy from them must
be very slightly over priced to offset this loss. So any person who has ever purchased anything--has been affected
by the LIBOR.
The
greater lesson to be learned here is this: We should have a realistic view of all of the so called
“market forces.” We continually hear conservatives extolling the virtues of
markets. We are told we should
replace any kind of government regulation with “market regulation.” Yes, just leave it to the market. After all, why would a free people
choose to have the most important economic decisions in their lives made by
representatives whom they themselves are allowed to choose? No, better leave it to the market. Governments are made of people, and
people might be corruptible.
They
would have us believe that “the market” is some mathematical entity with the
wisdom of Solomon, the impartiality of Blind Justice, and the inevitability of
fate. But, it turns out that “the
market” is a bunch of old, rich white guys cutting secret deals in back
rooms.
I
have always been given to suspicion of anyone who seems to have more wealth or
more power than I do. I tend to
wonder just how they got it. I
look for malevolent bankers under every woodpile. I have such suspicions that I
check under my bed every night to see if there might be a hedge fund manager
lurking there. But as suspicious
as I am, if anyone had told me that the LIBOR could be rigged, I would have
dismissed him as a lunatic conspiracy theorist. But I would have been wrong. And if the LIBOR can be rigged—anything can be rigged. Think about it.
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